Rainfall and Brazos River Forecast: June 16, 2026

Since yesterday, the Brazos River forecast has dropped slightly. The current forecast shows a crest at 38.2 feet at the Richmond Gage on Friday, June 19. At this elevation, the Brazos River will begin to close the Fort Bend County Levee Improvement District No. 11 (LID 11) flood gates and may impact gravity drainage inside the levee. Through Thursday, LID 11 is forecasted to receive 2-4 inches of rainfall. It is possible that portions of the greater Houston area could receive isolated totals over 10 inches. Fortunately, the risk of heavy rainfall decreases after Thursday when the Brazos River elevation is high enough to close the flood gates. The LID 11 pump stations have been tested and operators are on stand-by, if needed. The latest forecast information from the National Weather Service is linked below.

During any heavy rain event there may be street ponding or flooding if the storm drains are overwhelmed and back up.  As rainfall decreases, the storm sewers will catch up, and any water in the streets will recede.  Never drive into high water.

Brazos River at Richmond, TX

National Weather Service

Weather Preparedness

Dear LID 11 Residents,

We are aware of concerns regarding the upcoming winter storm and any potential stormwater impacts within the district. At this time, there is no concern of flooding for LID 11.

The Brazos River is currently at 8.6 feet, which is well below the action stage of 20 feet, and is not expected to affect the district. While rainfall is anticipated, current forecasts do not indicate amounts that would require emergency operations or pose a flood risk to the neighborhood.

All district facilities and storm water pump stations have been fully winterized in preparation for the cold weather. Backup generators have been inspected, including block heaters and surge protection systems, and all running water at facilities has been shut off and drained to prevent freeze-related issues.

We will continue to monitor weather conditions and river levels closely and will provide updates if conditions change.

Thank you.