Rainfall and Brazos River Forecast: June 15, 2026

The Brazos River is forecasted to crest at 39.9 feet at the Richmond Gage on Friday, June 19. At this elevation, the Brazos River will begin to close the Fort Bend County Levee Improvement District No. 11 (LID 11) flood gates and may impact gravity drainage inside the levee. LID 11 is also forecasted to receive 4-7 inches of rainfall through Wednesday, and isolated totals over 10 inches are possible. Fortunately, the risk of heavy rainfall decreases later this week when the Brazos River elevation is high enough to close the flood gates. The LID 11 pump stations have been tested and operators are on stand-by, if needed. The latest forecast information from the National Weather Service is linked below.

During any heavy rain event there may be street ponding or flooding if the storm drains are overwhelmed and back up.  As rainfall decreases, the storm sewers will catch up, and any water in the streets will recede.  Never drive into high water.

Brazos River at Richmond, TX

National Weather Service

May 13, 9:00AM – Brazos River Update – Brazos River in Action Stage and Falling

As of 8:15 AM on May 13, 2024, the Brazos River in Richmond has dropped back into Action Stage and is currently at Gage Elevation 44.9 feet. Based on the forecasts and rainfall occurring upstream, the WGRFC shows a slower fall through Richmond than previous forecasts. The WGRFC anticipates the Brazos River staying above Gage 39 feet through the end of the week. Below is a summary of the gages from Hempstead downstream.

The NWS continues to show severe weather for all of the Lower Brazos River Watershed and Region. There is an enhanced risk of severe weather with a marginal to slight risk of excessive rainfall through Tuesday morning. The forecast includes rainfall amounts between 1 to 3 inches with isolated higher amounts. After today, the region should see a break from the rain Tuesday and Wednesday; however, rain chances return Thursday into Friday. Confidence is low on the location and rainfall amounts so the forecast could change. This morning’s Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) is showing the lower Brazos River Watershed receiving between 1 to 3 inches of rain over the next 7 days. Based on the current forecast, no major flooding due to the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

Please note, forecasts and conditions can change. Everyone is encouraged to stay weather aware by following their favorite local weather source, including the National Weather Service and the West Gulf River Forecast Center. If you have not ready done so, please remember to sign up for Emergency Updates from Fort Bend County.