Brazos River Forecast
Over the past 24 hours, we have seen the forecasts from Hempstead to Richmond lowered. As of this morning, Hempstead is forecasted to hit Gage Elevation 47 feet tomorrow morning with San Felipe hitting Gage Elevation 119.6 Thursday morning. In Richmond, the forecast has dropped 1 foot since yesterday morning and is currently showing Richmond hitting Gage Elevation 46.4 on Friday morning.
Rainfall Potential and Severe Weather Outlook
Fort Bend County had a relatively quiet night with the majority of precipitation staying primarily to our west and north. Overall those areas appeared to receive less than an inch with the average closer to 0.1 to 0.2 inches. That should change today, as we have increased chances for rain starting this afternoon. Based on the current forecasts, we have between a 60 to 70 percent chance for rain through the end of the day with possible rainfall amounts between 0.5 to 1.5 inches across the region.
The most severe weather is currently forecasted to start Wednesday with increased threats of damaging winds and hail. The Severe Weather Outlook for Wednesday shows Fort Bend County with a slight risk for this severe weather. Based on the current forecasts, portions of the Brazos River watershed could see an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain on Wednesday.
The biggest threat of rain continues to be Thursday through Sunday. There is still a good amount of uncertainty on the exact location and rainfall amounts toward the end of the week, but generally, much of the lower Brazos River watershed could see between 2 to 6 inches of rain through Sunday with some areas potentially receiving as much as 7 to 8 inches. We will be continuing to monitor the conditions and provide additional updates as we get closer to Thursday and confidence increases in the rainfall forecast.
With elevated levels and saturated soils, we recommend that everyone stay information by visiting the Fort Bend Office of Homeland Security & Emergency Management website and the National Weather Service Houston/Galveston website for updates as things develop.